ABSTRACT

The objective of this study is to determine factors influencing political preferences of voters in Thrace and İstanbul. Therefore, the voters’ preferences survey has been conducted with 2357 voters in the region randomly selected and evaluated. The informative factors influencing political preferences collected in these surveys have been determined by the multinomial logit model. A lot of independent variables have been used in this model, but, because some independent variables were not found as significant according to likelihood ratio test, these variables are not included in the analysis. Nine important factors influencing political preferences of voters have been determined. These factors are newspaper reading habit, foreign language, civil society organization membership, art preferences, sport habits, gender, age, birthplace and social security of voters. Whether the political preferences are independent, has been tested with testing independence of irrelevant alternatives of Hausman. According to this test, it has been found that the political preferences are independent.